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0x008bf350637ce1ea308b3622a0d44116f9f3b476
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#178 of 624
Beats 44%30-day PnL#331 of 594
Beats 48%Win rate#303 of 592
Beats 98%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#11 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$227K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.93MVolume
63.6%Win rate · n=33
11.76%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$227.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$20partial
Liquidity rewards$485
11.8% ROI58.3% Win rate · n=36
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$252.2K · loses the most in Finance -$138
Top 5 winning markets
- +$223.5KWill Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Politics · Yes
- +$34.5K2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Politics · Yes
- +$12.7KWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Republican
- +$11.0KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No
- +$10.0KGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$42.8KWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Politics · Yes
- -$7,707Will Biden finish his term?Politics · No
- -$3,4072024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Politics · Yes
- -$2,956Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Politics · Yes
- -$2,208Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Finance · Yes
Covers all 33 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$227KVerified lifetime PnL
$215KEarned off the board
21Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $507 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $410 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $143 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $143 |
Which boards
Politics 21
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $20 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$20
Maker rebate$20
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-07-03 → 2026-08-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$227K
Verification gap$215K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)