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0x00c8ef68…

0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 6% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 6%Verified PnL#1086 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board49
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-12
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$150K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-05 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$150.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $497only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist83% of last 500 fills (over 4.3 days) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly taker100% of last 500 fills (over 4.3 days) paid a taker feeIn and out fastMedian hold 4 min across 66 bought-then-sold positionsMainly crypto84% of last 500 fills (over 4.3 days) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$153.7K · loses the most in Politics -$1,695

Sports289 pos.+$153.7K
Culture1 pos.+$549
Crypto108 pos.-$62.42
Tech & science1 pos.-$1,136
Politics1 pos.-$1,695

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$11.3KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
  2. +$8,495Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Sports · Yes
  3. +$7,683Knicks vs. SpursSports · Knicks
  4. +$7,055Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Sports · Yes
  5. +$6,052France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Sports · Under

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$11.4KWill Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?Sports · Yes
  2. -$8,963Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSports · Colombia
  3. -$7,879Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
  4. -$6,834Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Crypto · No
  5. -$4,737Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Sports · Yes

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2994+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$173.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$150KVerified lifetime PnL
$199KBelow board-day sum
49Days on board
$49KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 8 $5K
2026-06 13 $28K
2026-07 13 $13K
2026-08 6 $1K
2026-09 9 $2K

Which boards

Sports 43Crypto 8Finance 2Culture 1Politics 1

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$49K
Verified lifetime PnL-$150K
Verification gap-$199K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)