ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
CreamCream1215
0x01ced860d8dca5d7987579d2a2635df8520d27a2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#670 of 1130
Beats 41%30-day PnL#478 of 810
Beats 7%Win rate#858 of 928
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#261 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$833KVolume
38.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$7487-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$17.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $185only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$290partial
Liquidity rewards$81
2.05% ROI37.9% Win rate · n=409
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$18.8K · loses the most in Crypto -$173
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,153Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Weather · Yes
- +$846Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?Weather · Yes
- +$717Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?Weather · Yes
- +$698Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?Weather · Yes
- +$659Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,180Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Weather · Yes
- -$598Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?Weather · Yes
- -$555Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?Weather · Yes
- -$526Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?Weather · Yes / No
- -$523Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$292). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$12KEarned off the board
38Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$7487-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $253 |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $993 |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $972 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $647 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $93 |
Which boards
Weather 38
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $290 (52% maker / 48% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$290
Maker rebate$151
Taker rebate$139
Maker share52%
Taker share48%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-10-08
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$12K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)