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Patz3

0x0292664333884fe5c24b30f840b322fd1d284211

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 14% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 14%Verified PnL#989 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board13
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-28
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$16K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-08

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$16.1K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $136only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$161
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLongshot buyer100% of 242 buys at ≤ 10¢Mainly politics94% of last 500 fills (over 182.5 days) are politics marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Sports -$14.3K

Finance1 pos.-$40.12
Politics11 pos.-$2,902
Sports61 pos.-$14.3K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$9,820Spread: Lions (-3.5)Sports · Packers
  2. +$5,544Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Sports · Yes
  3. +$4,053Buccaneers vs. LionsSports · Lions
  4. +$3,417Thunder vs. NuggetsSports · Nuggets
  5. +$3,248Cavaliers vs. PacersSports · Pacers

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$25.6KSpread: Steelers (-3.5)Sports · Dolphins
  2. -$9,934Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Sports · Yes
  3. -$9,292Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?Sports · Yes
  4. -$1,695Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton Sports · Sinner / Shelton
  5. -$1,649Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Yes

Covers all 73 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$771). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$16KVerified lifetime PnL
$22KBelow board-day sum
13Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $829
2026-05 2 $1K
2026-06 1 $51
2026-07 3 $924
2026-08 4 $3K

Which boards

Politics 12Sports 1

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL-$16K
Verification gap-$22K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)