ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

steevo

0x04378e731c56dc13abe5f0e1bc53549caf4730f4

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 17% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 17%Verified PnL#932 of 1130
Beats 34%30-day PnL#534 of 810
Beats 32%Win rate#626 of 928
Beats 5%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#897 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board6
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-05
Last seen2026-08-23
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$7K

Verified lifetime PnL

$485KVolume
55.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$4917-day PnL
$75330-day PnL
2026-07 2026-08

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$7,125

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $165only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$278partial
Liquidity rewards$256
-1.47% ROI37% Win rate · n=606

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleActive this weekLast trade within 24 hoursRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$4,408 · loses the most in Crypto -$2,454

Sports115 pos.+$4,408
Finance17 pos.+$1,168
Politics66 pos.+$920
Culture4 pos.+$716
Weather19 pos.+$382
Tech & science11 pos.-$894
Crypto168 pos.-$2,454

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 205 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$12.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$375Board-day sum
$4917-day PnL
$75330-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-07 2 $72
2026-08 4 $303

Which boards

Mentions 3Politics 2Finance 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

49% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $278 (99% maker / 1% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mixed

Passive ratio49%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$278
Maker rebate$276
Taker rebate$2
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-03-29 → 2026-10-20

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$375
Verified lifetime PnL-$7K
Verification gap-$8K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)