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0x04560ce4…
0x04560ce4285463cfddd87a334618beb15399c88a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#790 of 1130
Beats 32%30-day PnL#548 of 810
Beats 92%Win rate#73 of 928
Beats 66%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#320 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-29
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$261KVolume
93.7%Win rate (sample) · n=397
1.58%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$54930-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,900
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$29partial
Liquidity rewards$73
1.50% ROI88.6% Win rate · n=420
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,465
Top 5 winning markets
- +$322Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics · Yes
- +$239Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics · Yes
- +$237Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics · Yes
- +$207Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics · No
- +$183Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$300US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Politics · Yes
- -$32.25Paris curfew by October 21?Politics · No
- -$29.19Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Sports · No
- -$22.48US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Politics · Yes / No
- -$22.1Paris curfew by October 24?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 23 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$496). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$468Board-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$54930-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 1 | $86 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $382 |
Which boards
Politics 8Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $29 (66% maker / 34% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$29
Maker rebate$19
Taker rebate$10
Maker share66%
Taker share34%
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$468
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)