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Red781RuM
0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#549 of 1130
Beats 51%30-day PnL#396 of 810
Beats 51%Win rate#453 of 928
Beats 76%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#222 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board60
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$37K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.63MVolume
66%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.30%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$37.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $248only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$390partial
Liquidity rewards$920
2.28% ROI65.5% Win rate · n=403
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$15.2K · loses the most in Crypto -$7,936
Top 5 winning markets
- +$12.8KWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Politics · Yes
- +$7,174Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Sports · Yes
- +$6,417Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Sports · Yes
- +$4,047Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture · Yes
- +$3,950Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,368US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$3,481Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Sports · Yes
- -$3,325Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$2,393Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Politics · No
- -$2,232Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$613). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$30KEarned off the board
60Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $318 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 21 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $365 |
Which boards
Finance 24Culture 24Crypto 11Politics 7Tech 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $390 (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$390
Maker rebate$385
Taker rebate$5
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-10-31
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$37K
Verification gap$30K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)