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0x068162f52e8534620c419c174be1aa5337dff713
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#611 of 624
Beats 24%30-day PnL#450 of 594
Beats 92%Win rate#45 of 592
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#613 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-08-03
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$998K
Verified lifetime PnL
$17.84MVolume
93.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-5.70%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4587-day PnL
-$45830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$998.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $983only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$42.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$262
-5.59% ROI41.6% Win rate · n=897
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$1.38M · loses the most in Politics -$18.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$101.9KWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$61.4KWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?Crypto · Yes
- +$50.4KWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$41.9KWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Crypto · Yes
- +$36.3KWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.0KEthereum above $3,300 on January 17?Crypto · No
- -$10.6KBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$10.5KWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Finance · Yes
- -$9,835Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Politics · Yes
- -$8,997Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$998KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.03MBelow board-day sum
14Days on board
$30KBoard-day sum
-$4587-day PnL
-$45830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $24K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $5K |
Which boards
Crypto 8Finance 7Politics 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $43K (44% maker / 56% taker); rebate covers 3% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$43K
Maker rebate$19K
Taker rebate$24K
Maker share44%
Taker share56%
Window2026-05-15 → 2026-09-16
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$278
Rebate$9
Net total-$270
Rebate covers loss3%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$30K
Verified lifetime PnL-$998K
Verification gap-$1.03M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)