ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

← All boards

0x06b2934b…

0x06b2934b382d4429d50d7239ee375a76167f9f35

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 55% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 55%Verified PnL#276 of 624
Beats 49%30-day PnL#301 of 594
Beats 56%Win rate#256 of 592
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#117 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-23
Last seen2026-09-29
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$75K

Verified lifetime PnL

$2.54MVolume
68.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.54%PnL ÷ Volume
-$8K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
2026-06 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$75.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,144partial
Liquidity rewards$299
2.96% ROI30.3% Win rate · n=900

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 40.7 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 40.7 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 40.7 h) are crypto marketsAverages down55% of 56 multi-buy positions added 10%+ below the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Finance +$228.6K

Finance161 pos.+$228.6K
Sports75 pos.+$46.1K
Crypto163 pos.+$14.3K
Tech & science1 pos.+$584

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$46.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?Finance · Down
  2. +$27.2KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?Finance · Down / Up
  3. +$20.5KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?Finance · Down / Up
  4. +$17.1KWill Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?Sports · No
  5. +$15.4KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?Finance · Down

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$7,934S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Finance · Down / Up
  2. -$7,844S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?Finance · Down
  3. -$6,943S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Finance · Up / Down
  4. -$5,263Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 1?Finance · Down / Up
  5. -$5,223S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?Finance · Down

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$75KVerified lifetime PnL
$66KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
-$8K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-06 1 $2K
2026-07 1 $51
2026-09 3 $8K

Which boards

Finance 4Crypto 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

63% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (24% maker / 76% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio63%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$278
Taker rebate$866
Maker share24%
Taker share76%
Window2026-06-23 → 2026-10-12

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$75K
Verification gap$66K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)