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Mantronix
0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#961 of 1130
Beats 42%30-day PnL#464 of 810
Beats 1%Win rate#917 of 928
Beats 14%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#816 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board57
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-28
Last seen2026-09-13
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$15K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.95MVolume
21.3%Win rate · n=169
-0.30%PnL ÷ Volume
$8547-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$14.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,268only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,514partial
Liquidity rewards$3,979
-0.30% ROI21.2% Win rate · n=170
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$43.9K · loses the most in Politics -$63.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$40.4KFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$38.3KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$18.7KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$7,695Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Crypto · Yes
- +$6,147Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson TideSports · Alabama Crimson Tide
Top 5 losing markets
- -$19.5KWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · Yes
- -$13.0KMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics · Yes
- -$8,710Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Politics · Israel
- -$7,248Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?Sports · No
- -$6,741US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics · Yes
Covers all 171 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2,359). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$15KVerified lifetime PnL
$68KBelow board-day sum
57Days on board
$54KBoard-day sum
$8547-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $13K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $21K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $1K |
Which boards
Culture 33Crypto 12Politics 11Sports 8Weather 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (87% maker / 13% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$204
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-03-18 → 2026-09-19
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$54K
Verified lifetime PnL-$15K
Verification gap-$68K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)