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melonmanm
0x0787a58e205a70320db638113fe8da18c8800ca3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#427 of 1130
Beats 71%30-day PnL#231 of 810
Beats 41%Win rate#539 of 928
Beats 82%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#166 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-04
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$72K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.20MVolume
61.3%Win rate (sample) · n=395
2.99%PnL ÷ Volume
$12K7-day PnL
$31K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$71.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $431only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$674partial
Liquidity rewards$1,558
3.26% ROI42.2% Win rate · n=590
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$27.5K · loses the most in Crypto -$25.87
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,792Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics · No / Yes
- +$2,711EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Politics · Yes
- +$2,281Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Politics · Yes
- +$1,931Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics · Yes / No
- +$1,873Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,280Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Politics · No
- -$2,132Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics · No
- -$1,684Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Politics · No
- -$1,036Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics · No
- -$987Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 188 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$8,514). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$72KVerified lifetime PnL
$68KEarned off the board
27Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$12K7-day PnL
$31K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $680 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $293 |
Which boards
Politics 15Tech 14Finance 1Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
54% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $674 (79% maker / 21% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio54%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$674
Maker rebate$530
Taker rebate$144
Maker share79%
Taker share21%
Window2026-06-26 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$72K
Verification gap$68K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)