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0x0c2619b92cd24c8d7f347244cba2af3275f1d223
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#533 of 624
Beats 54%30-day PnL#271 of 594
Beats 16%Win rate#493 of 592
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#522 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-12
Last seen2026-09-16
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.33MVolume
45%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$6,033
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,869partial
Liquidity rewards$67
-0.11% ROI45% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$4,100 · loses the most in Politics -$232.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.7KWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$5,600Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$4,646Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,200Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$2,879Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$17.5KWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$16.9KWill John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$15.0KWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$15.0KWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$15.0KWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$15KBelow board-day sum
26Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $95 |
Which boards
Politics 26
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (100% maker / 0% taker); rebate covers 0% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$6
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-19 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$283K
Rebate$82
Net total-$283K
Rebate covers loss0%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL-$6K
Verification gap-$15K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)