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0x0ca4e9d27ff826a109ecbf74754fb66b93f277a6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 56% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 56%Verified PnL#272 of 624
Beats 84%30-day PnL#93 of 594
Beats 28%Win rate#424 of 592
Beats 43%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#352 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-18
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$78K
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.68MVolume
52%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.70%PnL ÷ Volume
$26K7-day PnL
$100K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$78.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $880only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$53.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$485
0.90% ROI23.1% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$5,026
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,192Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,065Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,063Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,055Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,024Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,142Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,116Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,109Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,083Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,052Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$78KVerified lifetime PnL
$70KEarned off the board
33Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$26K7-day PnL
$100K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | $488 |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $4K |
Which boards
Crypto 33
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $54K (11% maker / 89% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$54K
Maker rebate$6K
Taker rebate$48K
Maker share11%
Taker share89%
Window2026-07-18 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$2.21M
Rebate$31K
Net total$2.25M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$78K
Verification gap$70K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)