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0x0df46cd4065c0706bba1cbf771b6e69e2caec7cb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 21% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 21%Verified PnL#488 of 624
Beats 42%30-day PnL#344 of 594
Beats 48%Win rate#306 of 592
Beats 18%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#504 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-13
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$111KVolume
63.5%Win rate · n=85
-0.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4657-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,589
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $754only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$84partial
Liquidity rewards$1
1.43% ROI63.5% Win rate · n=85
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$1,926
Top 5 winning markets
- +$892Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Culture · No
- +$689Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Culture · No
- +$684Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Culture · No
- +$650Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Culture · No
- +$627Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,250Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,114Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,009Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Culture · No
- -$790Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Culture · No
- -$777Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Culture · No
Covers all 98 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$117Below board-day sum
13Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$4657-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $949 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $185 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $180 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $171 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $220 |
Which boards
Culture 13
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $84 (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$84
Maker rebate$77
Taker rebate$7
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-04-14 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$2K
Verification gap-$117
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)