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Elonurmom
0x0f7f9903f46c24ba66900ceb4a427873129c6450
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#432 of 624
Beats 53%30-day PnL#278 of 594
Beats 5%Win rate#560 of 592
Beats 23%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#477 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-15
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.40MVolume
32.5%Win rate (sample) · n=372
0.06%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,963only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$285partial
Liquidity rewards$57
0.15% ROI15.9% Win rate · n=760
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$310.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$14.3KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$13.5KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$12.5KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,695Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,314Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,270Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,685Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,160Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,151Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,146Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Culture · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$20KBelow board-day sum
54Days on board
$32KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $11K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $5K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Culture 54
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $285 (35% maker / 65% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$285
Maker rebate$101
Taker rebate$184
Maker share35%
Taker share65%
Window2026-04-10 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$32K
Verified lifetime PnL$11K
Verification gap-$20K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)