ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Qualitative
0x0f863d92dd2b960e3eb6a23a35fd92a91981404e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 82%Verified PnL#202 of 1130
Beats 34%30-day PnL#533 of 810
Beats 16%Win rate#776 of 928
Beats 67%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#309 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-08
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$316K
Verified lifetime PnL
$18.90MVolume
48.2%Win rate (sample) · n=398
1.67%PnL ÷ Volume
$7487-day PnL
$79430-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$316.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $15only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$239partial
Liquidity rewards$285
1.67% ROI48.2% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$34.7K · loses the most in Politics -$11.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,050Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · Yes
- +$4,384Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics · No
- +$3,460Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
- +$3,399US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$3,191Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,102Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes
- -$6,020Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics · No
- -$3,523Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Politics · Trump / Kamala
- -$2,971Will Trump say "tampon" during his Arizona rally?Politics · Yes
- -$2,577Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$316KVerified lifetime PnL
$315KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$853Board-day sum
$7487-day PnL
$79430-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $226 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $225 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $300 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $50 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $52 |
Which boards
Finance 7Culture 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $239 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$239
Maker rebate$239
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-05 → 2026-06-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$853
Verified lifetime PnL$316K
Verification gap$315K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)