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AlexWinAAA
0x102d3088aa3e646f2c7f4fa41e32e116c580ff61
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 29% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 29%Verified PnL#795 of 1130
Beats 36%30-day PnL#512 of 810
Beats 90%Win rate#89 of 928
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#693 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-01
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.37MVolume
92.2%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.16%PnL ÷ Volume
-$8727-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,732
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$130partial
Liquidity rewards$20
0.16% ROI40.9% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$14.8K · loses the most in Finance -$108
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,301Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- +$1,287Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Sports · Yes
- +$1,019Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSports · Spirit
- +$909Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Culture · No
- +$826Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$143Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?Culture · No / Yes
- -$103Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$67.03Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerSports · Legacy
- -$59.6Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?Sports · Yes
- -$18.8Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In PlayoffsSports · strongboys
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 589 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$18.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
17Days on board
$693Board-day sum
-$8727-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | $142 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $13 |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $272 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $267 |
Which boards
Sports 17
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $130 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$130
Maker rebate$128
Taker rebate$2
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$693
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)