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0x10a6fadcbacd66330862206f6199b197e3ad4d8b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#166 of 624
Beats 90%30-day PnL#56 of 594
Beats 93%Win rate#40 of 592
Beats 44%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#342 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-13
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$270K
Verified lifetime PnL
$35.54MVolume
93.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.76%PnL ÷ Volume
-$78K7-day PnL
$244K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$269.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $51.8Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$122.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.76% ROI41.7% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3.71M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$360.1KWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$309.4KPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
- +$241.4KSpread: Morocco (-1.5)Sports · Morocco
- +$212.2KBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$205.1KSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$200.0KArsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$189.3KUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$165.9KPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Under / Over
- -$158.0KArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- -$155.7KBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$270KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.01MBelow board-day sum
28Days on board
$1.28MBoard-day sum
-$78K7-day PnL
$244K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $106 |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $598K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $673K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $11K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $455 |
Which boards
Sports 28All markets 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $123K (0% maker / 100% taker); recent window rebate share 11%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$123K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$123K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$183K
Rebate$22K
Net total$205K
Rebate share11%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.28M
Verified lifetime PnL$270K
Verification gap-$1.01M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)