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0x10b30364…
0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#954 of 1130
Beats 4%30-day PnL#775 of 810
Beats 28%Win rate#667 of 928
Beats 18%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#774 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.86MVolume
54.1%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
-$98K7-day PnL
-$119K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$11.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,157only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$826partial
Liquidity rewards$1,546
-0.07% ROI53.9% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$497.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$392.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$376.3KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · No
- +$226.6KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No
- +$109.4KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$81.0K2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Politics · Yes
- +$43.5K2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HousePolitics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$364.6KWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Crypto · Yes
- -$101.4KWill Biden finish his term?Politics · No
- -$72.2KWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Politics · No
- -$52.0KWill Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Politics · Yes
- -$32.9KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$20.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$45KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$34KBoard-day sum
-$98K7-day PnL
-$119K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $786 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $26K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $40 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $100 |
Which boards
Sports 12Politics 8Crypto 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $826 (72% maker / 28% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$826
Maker rebate$595
Taker rebate$230
Maker share72%
Taker share28%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$34K
Verified lifetime PnL-$12K
Verification gap-$45K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)