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0x111f73e91f85b6fe4de1ddec3de2fe32122e355b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 20%Verified PnL#494 of 622
Beats 99%30-day PnL#4 of 308
Beats 19%Win rate#456 of 568
Beats 19%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#475 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-09-22
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$860
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.23MVolume
47.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.03%PnL ÷ Volume
$628K7-day PnL
$2.30M30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$860
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$6,393partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.02% ROI24.2% Win rate · n=855
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$1,238
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,043XRP Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,806Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- +$1,593XRP Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,464Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,206Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,091Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,767XRP Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,671XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,057Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$981XRP Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$860Verified lifetime PnL
$390KBelow board-day sum
14Days on board
$391KBoard-day sum
$628K7-day PnL
$2.30M30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 7 | $163K |
| 2026-10 | 7 | $228K |
Which boards
Crypto 14
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured489
Window ends2026-08-14
Window scope1 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$6K
Taker rebate$3
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-26 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$2.48M
Rebate$2
Net total$2.48M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$391K
Verified lifetime PnL$860
Verification gap-$390K
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)