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0x116db6298abcdefe06f9f5458c293c7de185fbf1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 45% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 45%Verified PnL#339 of 624
Beats 92%Win rate#41 of 592
Beats 53%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#289 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-13
Last seen2026-07-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$39K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.81MVolume
93.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.02%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$38.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $360only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$459partial
Liquidity rewards$18
1.02% ROI75% Win rate · n=499
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$20.6K · loses the most in Politics -$22.99
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,426Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?Weather · Yes
- +$2,048Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?Weather · Yes
- +$1,925Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?Weather · Yes / No
- +$1,230Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?Weather · No
- +$1,079Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,288Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?Weather · No
- -$4,285Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?Weather · Yes
- -$3,162Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?Weather · No / Yes
- -$1,937Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?Weather · No
- -$1,929Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$39KVerified lifetime PnL
$26KEarned off the board
26Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 8 | $10K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $111 |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $976 |
Which boards
Weather 26
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $459 (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio69%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$459
Maker rebate$404
Taker rebate$55
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-04-09 → 2026-07-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$39K
Verification gap$26K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)