ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
qmmar
0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#931 of 1130
Beats 20%30-day PnL#644 of 810
Beats 49%Win rate#472 of 928
Beats 22%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#744 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-09-09
Last seen2026-09-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$639KVolume
65%Win rate · n=20
0.01%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K30-day PnL
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$7,092
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $582only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$34partial
Liquidity rewards$31
-1.11% ROI44.8% Win rate · n=29
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$265 · loses the most in Tech & science -$4,391
Top 5 winning markets
- +$25.1KWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Tech & science · Yes
- +$21.9KWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,438Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,189Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,159Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$30.6KGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?Tech & science · Yes
- -$11.9KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$11.0KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$2,272Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Tech & science · No
- -$1,543Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Covers all 37 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$34.0K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 6 | $3K |
Which boards
Tech 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
78% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $34 (53% maker / 47% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio78%
Fills measured472
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scope295 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$34
Maker rebate$18
Taker rebate$16
Maker share53%
Taker share47%
Window2026-09-07 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$7K
Verification gap-$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)