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bearbees2
0x12b8e7c160f3ced67a22b7eadf764cd1c2c4479c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 50% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 50%Verified PnL#559 of 1130
Beats 21%30-day PnL#636 of 810
Beats 87%Win rate#116 of 928
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#431 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$36K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.59MVolume
89.1%Win rate · n=239
0.99%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$91130-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$35.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$322partial
Liquidity rewards$457
0.99% ROI85.9% Win rate · n=248
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$26.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$14.7KWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
- +$5,466Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Sports · No
- +$2,967Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$2,941Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Sports · Yes
- +$2,690US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.4KWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
- -$4,251Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Politics · Yes / No
- -$3,271Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
- -$3,090Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenSports · Usyk
- -$1,603Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
Covers the 256 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2,258). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$31KEarned off the board
17Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$91130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $257 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $791 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $440 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $480 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $248 |
Which boards
Politics 10Culture 5Sports 2Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $322 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$322
Maker rebate$322
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-28 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$36K
Verification gap$31K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)