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olegio
0x12ec6d71325afac2b4d25b3de94185e2c48d41ae
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 70% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 70%Verified PnL#331 of 1130
Beats 88%30-day PnL#95 of 810
Beats 25%Win rate#696 of 928
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#622 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$122K
Verified lifetime PnL
$21.08MVolume
52.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.35%PnL ÷ Volume
$171K7-day PnL
$150K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$122.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,270only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$14.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$194
0.58% ROI38.3% Win rate · n=546
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$712.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$66.2KWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Sports · No
- +$59.7KWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Sports · No
- +$55.5KSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Sports · Paris Saint-Germain FC
- +$54.9KUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports · Juan Diaz
- +$50.3KWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$52.4KWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
- -$39.7KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Sports · No
- -$37.8KWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
- -$36.5KWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$35.7KUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports · Melquizael Costa
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 147 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$718.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$122KVerified lifetime PnL
$71KBelow board-day sum
18Days on board
$194KBoard-day sum
$171K7-day PnL
$150K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $86K |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $72K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $29K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $3K |
Which boards
Sports 18All markets 6
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $14K (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$14K
Maker rebate$13K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-03-29 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$194K
Verified lifetime PnL$122K
Verification gap-$71K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)