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Lucerys
0x1387d145aaf01f6e33b66525dda6e1f51f6955f8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 77% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 77%Verified PnL#142 of 624
Beats 97%30-day PnL#14 of 594
Beats 12%Win rate#516 of 592
Beats 80%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#121 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-09-08
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$328K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.91MVolume
41.5%Win rate (sample) · n=390
2.53%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4K7-day PnL
$1.01M30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$327.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,041partial
Liquidity rewards$13.5K
6.67% ROI36.6% Win rate · n=443
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$479.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$135.8KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No / Yes
- +$76.9KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$57.5KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$44.9KWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$40.6KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$12.1KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$11.9KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$11.9KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$7,174Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No
- -$5,933Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$328KVerified lifetime PnL
$319KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
-$4K7-day PnL
$1.01M30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 14 | $6K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 11Tech 8Weather 6Finance 2Culture 2Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
23% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (59% maker / 41% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio23%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share59%
Taker share41%
Window2026-09-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$328K
Verification gap$319K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)