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0x1491f3faea8f55eb683eea438d4d6367eb84fd70
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#544 of 625
Beats 14%30-day PnL#445 of 519
Beats 54%Win rate#259 of 566
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#552 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board25
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-22
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$9K
Verified lifetime PnL
$653KVolume
66%Win rate (sample) · n=391
-1.38%PnL ÷ Volume
$2627-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$9,398
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$752partial
Liquidity rewards$33.7K
-1.44% ROI51.5% Win rate · n=501
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,966 · loses the most in Tech & science -$252
Top 5 winning markets
- +$648J.K. Dobbins: Anytime TouchdownSports · Yes
- +$571George Pickens: Anytime TouchdownSports · Yes
- +$370Malik Nabers: Anytime TouchdownSports · No
- +$304David Montgomery: Anytime TouchdownSports · No
- +$260Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$570Derrick Henry: Anytime TouchdownSports · Yes
- -$127Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31?Finance · No
- -$120Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Sports · Yes
- -$113Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Politics · No
- -$105Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
25Days on board
$812Board-day sum
$2627-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $139 |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $344 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $190 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $139 |
Which boards
Mentions 13Sports 6Tech 5Finance 5Politics 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $752 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured474
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scope39 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$752
Maker rebate$752
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-07-18 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$812
Verified lifetime PnL-$9K
Verification gap-$10K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)