ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
borntoolate.eth
0x14c32680ffc318892e0d019181e4161aa34cdf68
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 72%Verified PnL#314 of 1130
Beats 88%30-day PnL#94 of 810
Beats 59%Win rate#372 of 928
Beats 38%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#586 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board19
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$143K
Verified lifetime PnL
$29.60MVolume
70.7%Win rate (sample) · n=376
0.48%PnL ÷ Volume
$159K7-day PnL
$158K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$143.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $857only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,897partial
Liquidity rewards$380
0.48% ROI69.6% Win rate · n=382
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$64.3K · loses the most in Weather -$183
Top 5 winning markets
- +$280.0KWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$190.8KWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$190.7KWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$135.0KWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Sports · Yes / No
- +$100.0KWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$140.0KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Sports · Yes
- -$139.3KWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?Sports · Yes
- -$95.4KWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
- -$95.4KWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
- -$95.4KWill England win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 6 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$9,090). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$143KVerified lifetime PnL
$119KEarned off the board
19Days on board
$24KBoard-day sum
$159K7-day PnL
$158K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $360 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $21K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $336 |
Which boards
Sports 9Tech 7Crypto 2Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $4K (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$277
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-01-16 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$24K
Verified lifetime PnL$143K
Verification gap$119K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)