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Ferwhere
0x152fdae6b14b9131a61ec77ed61dda50f68da549
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#335 of 1156
Beats 1%Win rate#951 of 963
Beats 56%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#440 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board41
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$124K
Verified lifetime PnL
$18.21MVolume
20.5%Win rate · n=83
1.04%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$124.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8,468only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
0.68% ROI10.2% Win rate · n=166
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$202.9K · loses the most in Sports -$46.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$174.1KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$119.8KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$19.8KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$3,439UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sports · Sean Strickland / Khamzat Chimaev
- +$2,426Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$45.8KWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$8,129Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$7,923Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes
- -$7,884Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$6,500Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Yes
Covers all 168 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 83 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$135.7K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$124KVerified lifetime PnL
$90KEarned off the board
41Days on board
$34KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | $11K |
| 2026-06 | 14 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 30Sports 13Culture 4Weather 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$34K
Verified lifetime PnL$124K
Verification gap$90K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)