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HMLSF
0x1610db79f753a80207e1d66716be9e91e627ae49
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 79% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 79%Verified PnL#127 of 624
Beats 89%30-day PnL#63 of 594
Beats 16%Win rate#497 of 592
Beats 24%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#468 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-09-24
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$427K
Verified lifetime PnL
$79.06MVolume
44.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
$259K7-day PnL
$209K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$426.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $59.8Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$337.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$253
0.54% ROI44.4% Win rate · n=403
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.17M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$175.8KGrizzlies vs. Trail BlazersSports · Grizzlies
- +$139.0KSwiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome KymSports · Ben Shelton
- +$123.0KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSports · Anyone's Legend / Bilibili Gaming
- +$96.0KLoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSports · LOS
- +$95.8KNingbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Semen PankinSports · Petr Bar Biryukov
Top 5 losing markets
- -$106.6KSao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. AlvesSports · Carolina M. Alves
- -$105.1KThunder vs. SpursSports · Thunder
- -$92.5KLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerSports · Bilibili Gaming
- -$87.3KCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSports · Aurora Gaming
- -$82.1KCavaliers vs. HawksSports · Cavaliers
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$427KVerified lifetime PnL
$301KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$727KBoard-day sum
$259K7-day PnL
$209K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $117K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $101K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $16K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $68K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $426K |
Which boards
Sports 21All markets 12
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $338K (4% maker / 96% taker); recent window rebate share 8%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$338K
Maker rebate$13K
Taker rebate$325K
Maker share4%
Taker share96%
Window2026-05-18 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$579K
Rebate$52K
Net total$631K
Rebate share8%
Window2026-10-02 → 2026-11-01
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$727K
Verified lifetime PnL$427K
Verification gap-$301K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)