ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
sakuralover
0x169527179bbc4bd99288585fc39eb0e117bf2842
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 42% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 42%Verified PnL#650 of 1130
Beats 54%Win rate#423 of 928
Beats 94%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#55 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-27
Last seen2026-07-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$20K
Verified lifetime PnL
$298KVolume
68.2%Win rate · n=22
6.83%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$20.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$859
Rebates (maker + taker)$33partial
Liquidity rewards$43
6.83% ROI65.2% Win rate · n=23
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$24.4K · loses the most in Politics -$3,504
Top 5 winning markets
- +$12.1KWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$10.4KWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$3,093GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,692GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,375GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,473GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$4,223GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$3,504US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · No
- -$902GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$395GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · No
Covers all 23 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$100). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$20KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$18KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $12K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $5K |
Which boards
Tech 18
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $33 (26% maker / 74% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$33
Maker rebate$9
Taker rebate$25
Maker share26%
Taker share74%
Window2026-05-27 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$18K
Verified lifetime PnL$20K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)