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0x17b8dd10eb8657c495fe04a469c956fcc301d5d1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#563 of 624
Beats 12%30-day PnL#521 of 594
Beats 68%Win rate#188 of 592
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#595 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-07
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$52K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.57MVolume
73.4%Win rate (sample) · n=391
-2.04%PnL ÷ Volume
-$9K7-day PnL
-$13K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$51.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $35only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,231partial
Liquidity rewards$717
-2.02% ROI50.3% Win rate · n=571
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$99.7K · loses the most in Culture -$854
Top 5 winning markets
- +$18.7KDana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Sports · Alik Lorenz
- +$11.8KUFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)Sports · Ikram Aliskerov
- +$10.7KFight to Go the Distance?Sports · No / Yes
- +$7,485Fight to Go the Distance?Sports · No
- +$7,311UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Sports · Denise Gomes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$12.0KFight to Go the Distance?Sports · Yes / No
- -$9,411UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)Sports · Chidi Njokuani / Joel Álvarez
- -$7,153UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Sports · Nina Miloševic / Hailey Cowan
- -$6,871Fight to Go the Distance?Sports · No
- -$6,314UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Mason Jones
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$52KVerified lifetime PnL
$56KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$9K7-day PnL
-$13K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $327 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $1K |
Which boards
Sports 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
62% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (32% maker / 68% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio62%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$390
Taker rebate$841
Maker share32%
Taker share68%
Window2026-06-28 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$52K
Verification gap-$56K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)