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pedrobueno
0x17e0504da9a42b1ba021e5e22802f34a42bffe5b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 42% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 42%Verified PnL#649 of 1130
Beats 28%Win rate#660 of 928
Beats 86%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#132 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-30
Last seen2026-07-27
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$20K
Verified lifetime PnL
$557KVolume
54.4%Win rate · n=379
3.66%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$20.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $828only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$294partial
Liquidity rewards$43
3.66% ROI50.2% Win rate · n=410
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$31.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,749Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?Weather · No
- +$2,057Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?Weather · Yes
- +$1,764Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?Weather · Yes
- +$1,758Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?Weather · Yes
- +$1,665Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 29?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,120Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?Weather · Yes
- -$1,391Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?Weather · No
- -$1,066Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?Weather · Yes
- -$1,042Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?Weather · Yes
- -$1,028Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?Weather · Yes
Covers the 379 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 31 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$11.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$20KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KEarned off the board
10Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $113 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $777 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $2K |
Which boards
Weather 10
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $294 (17% maker / 83% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$294
Maker rebate$49
Taker rebate$245
Maker share17%
Taker share83%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-07-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$20K
Verification gap$18K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)