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← All boardsCasablanca10
0x1a29b75d4bfb5d62b343e4abdd10b60c0ce19b2e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 71% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 71%Verified PnL#180 of 624
Beats 74%Win rate#150 of 592
Beats 90%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#58 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-14
Last seen2026-06-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$220K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.63MVolume
78.6%Win rate · n=117
3.90%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$219.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,975only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$189partial
Liquidity rewards$220
3.90% ROI78% Win rate · n=118
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$173.2K · loses the most in Politics -$1,810
Top 5 winning markets
- +$79.2KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance · Yes
- +$51.2KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Finance · Yes / No
- +$29.6KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Finance · No / Yes
- +$15.7KWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Crypto · No
- +$14.2KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$18.1KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Finance · No
- -$14.3KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Finance · No / Yes
- -$6,609Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Politics · Yes / No
- -$3,006Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$2,079Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Finance · Yes / No
Covers all 118 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$220KVerified lifetime PnL
$54KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$165KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 9 | $159K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 23
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
51% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $189 (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio51%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-06-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$189
Maker rebate$153
Taker rebate$36
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$165K
Verified lifetime PnL$220K
Verification gap$54K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)