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← All boardsshanze8
0x1a9cfddd25dfa4f5b99f39bb928fdaed4e6a079d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 43% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 43%Verified PnL#353 of 624
Beats 29%30-day PnL#421 of 594
Beats 92%Win rate#48 of 592
Beats 88%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#74 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-23
Last seen2026-07-31
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$35K
Verified lifetime PnL
$954KVolume
92.4%Win rate (sample) · n=397
3.56%PnL ÷ Volume
$3257-day PnL
$2130-day PnL
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$35.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $437only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$92partial
Liquidity rewards$3
3.67% ROI67.3% Win rate · n=547
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$40.6K · loses the most in Culture -$205
Top 5 winning markets
- +$28.7KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?Weather · Yes / No
- +$935Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?Weather · No
- +$634Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?Weather · Yes
- +$600Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?Weather · Yes
- +$332Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$205Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- -$106Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?Weather · No
- -$52.97Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?Weather · Yes
- -$52.64Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?Weather · Yes
- -$47.37Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 6?Weather · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$35KVerified lifetime PnL
$34KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$743Board-day sum
$3257-day PnL
$2130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | $743 |
Which boards
Weather 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
62% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $92 (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio62%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$92
Maker rebate$75
Taker rebate$17
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-07-24 → 2026-09-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$743
Verified lifetime PnL$35K
Verification gap$34K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)