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0x1b29fd072a61e82c870034e25bd81169ef70f288
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$428
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$20.4K · loses the most in Tech & science -$1,109
Top 5 winning markets
- +$894Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?Weather · Yes
- +$498Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1?Weather · Yes
- +$496Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?Weather · Yes
- +$484Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?Weather · Yes
- +$475Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,067Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$371Megaquake by November 30?Weather · No
- -$129Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberPolitics · Yes
- -$106Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Crypto · Yes
- -$101Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 24?Weather · No
Covers the 286 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 1 | $109 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $68 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)