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Kathod-Shi-14
0x1b414826a2c991d5ae1669a754291626d0df0b56
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 18% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 18%Verified PnL#919 of 1130
Beats 60%30-day PnL#322 of 810
Beats 85%Win rate#137 of 928
Beats 17%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#783 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-09
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.00MVolume
87.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.13%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$4,308
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $32only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8,776partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.14% ROI66.9% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$672
Top 5 winning markets
- +$626Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$472Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$434Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$425Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$487Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$445Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$418Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$382Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$357Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2995+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$36.4K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KBelow board-day sum
10Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $725 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $207 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $1K |
Which boards
Crypto 10
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $9K (32% maker / 68% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$9K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$6K
Maker share32%
Taker share68%
Window2026-06-02 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$4K
Verification gap-$6K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)