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0x1c0f3e4c90a48e4dd93d0abcdf719a5a5f1599d0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 45% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 45%Verified PnL#338 of 624
Beats 23%30-day PnL#456 of 594
Beats 1%Win rate#581 of 592
Beats 68%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#194 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-27
Last seen2026-08-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$39K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.16MVolume
21.7%Win rate (sample) · n=388
1.81%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1267-day PnL
-$68130-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$39.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $306only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$325partial
Liquidity rewards$845
1.80% ROI21.5% Win rate · n=391
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$42.0K · loses the most in Sports -$7,392
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,173Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 75000?Finance · Yes / No
- +$5,544Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?Weather · Yes
- +$2,808Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?Weather · No
- +$2,649Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?Weather · Yes
- +$2,560Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,660Will Chicago Bears draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Sports · Yes / No
- -$1,528Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?Weather · Yes
- -$1,177Will Atlanta Falcons draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Sports · Yes
- -$880Will Las Vegas Raiders draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Sports · No / Yes
- -$658Will Detroit Lions draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$39KVerified lifetime PnL
$12KEarned off the board
14Days on board
$27KBoard-day sum
-$1267-day PnL
-$68130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $7K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $17K |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $123 |
Which boards
Weather 14Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $325 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-18
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$325
Maker rebate$318
Taker rebate$7
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$27K
Verified lifetime PnL$39K
Verification gap$12K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)