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peasant
0x1c72797cd4b9b83f42e287144e334c4de347dfb6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#401 of 1130
Beats 75%30-day PnL#200 of 810
Beats 35%Win rate#599 of 928
Beats 48%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#492 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board25
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-27
Last seen2026-08-06
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$85K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.63MVolume
57.4%Win rate · n=338
0.80%PnL ÷ Volume
$44K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$85.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,253only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$170partial
Liquidity rewards$2,189
0.73% ROI55.8% Win rate · n=348
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$476.6K · loses the most in Culture -$11.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$96.9KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?Politics · No / Yes
- +$63.9KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Politics · No
- +$56.1KWill Israel invade Syria in 2024?Politics · Yes / No
- +$55.4KWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$52.2KWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$97.5KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · No
- -$69.0KUS-China trade deal before June?Politics · No
- -$62.3KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · No
- -$47.4KFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Politics · No
- -$29.0KWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics · Yes
Covers the 342 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 10 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$365.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$85KVerified lifetime PnL
$54KEarned off the board
25Days on board
$31KBoard-day sum
$44K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $16K |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $931 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $11K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $22 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $99 |
Which boards
Politics 24Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $170 (56% maker / 44% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$170
Maker rebate$95
Taker rebate$75
Maker share56%
Taker share44%
Window2026-05-15 → 2026-11-02
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$31K
Verified lifetime PnL$85K
Verification gap$54K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)