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MMousse
0x1cba7e44bcfd5acc4513f554ab9e86453d086a4c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 79% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 79%Verified PnL#238 of 1130
Beats 15%Win rate#780 of 928
Beats 50%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#473 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-13
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$261K
Verified lifetime PnL
$30.03MVolume
47.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.87%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$260.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$21.1K
0.87% ROI47.9% Win rate · n=399
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$155.4K · loses the most in Crypto -$3,377
Top 5 winning markets
- +$231.7KWill there be a US Government shutdown? Politics · Yes / No
- +$38.6KWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?Politics · Yes / No
- +$25.4KIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Politics · No / Yes
- +$24.3KTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Culture · Yes / No
- +$21.2K<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$42.9KWill Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Politics · No
- -$26.7KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Politics · Yes / No
- -$22.1KWill Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Politics · Yes / No
- -$20.0KWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · No / Yes
- -$19.9KYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$261KVerified lifetime PnL
$259KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $78 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $628 |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $785 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $314 |
Which boards
Culture 6Sports 5Politics 4Crypto 4Finance 2Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$261K
Verification gap$259K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)