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0x1d1aa3439835cc8dbb5e55d615bee3f39b0d324e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 32% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 32%Verified PnL#423 of 624
Beats 31%30-day PnL#408 of 594
Beats 47%Win rate#310 of 592
Beats 87%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#81 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-19
Last seen2026-09-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$14K
Verified lifetime PnL
$400KVolume
63.4%Win rate (sample) · n=393
3.40%PnL ÷ Volume
$2667-day PnL
$28830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$13.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $261only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$55partial
Liquidity rewards$220
3.40% ROI62.9% Win rate · n=396
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$9,495 · loses the most in Sports -$847
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,447Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Politics · No / Yes
- +$953Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?Culture · Yes
- +$934US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$907Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Politics · No / Yes
- +$640MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$906Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?Culture · Yes
- -$872Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?Politics · No
- -$867US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$433Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?Culture · No
- -$369Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$14KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KEarned off the board
36Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$2667-day PnL
$28830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $118 |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $208 |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $148 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $5 |
Which boards
Mentions 35Culture 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
52% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $55 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio52%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$55
Maker rebate$55
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-13 → 2026-08-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$14K
Verification gap$10K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)