ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

Liou-No2

0x1dda11b652905b9865379c19d9765492c3fa23bb

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 21% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 21%Verified PnL#890 of 1130
Beats 40%30-day PnL#480 of 810
Beats 98%Win rate#13 of 928
Beats 19%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#766 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board5
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-13
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$1K

Verified lifetime PnL

$3.27MVolume
99.5%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.04%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
2026-07 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1,443

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$112partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.04% ROI88% Win rate · n=451

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes99% of 500 buys at ≥ 90¢Holds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.4 days)Mainly weather100% of last 500 fills (over 2.4 days) are weather marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Sports -$4,527

Weather178 pos.-$1,850
Sports222 pos.-$4,527

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 52 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$111). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
5Days on board
$698Board-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-07 4 $609
2026-09 1 $89

Which boards

Sports 4Weather 1

Method breakdown

Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

visible rebate $112 (98% maker / 2% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$112
Maker rebate$109
Taker rebate$3
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-07-26

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$698
Verified lifetime PnL-$1K
Verification gap-$2K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)