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0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 26% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 26%Verified PnL#462 of 624
Beats 42%30-day PnL#341 of 594
Beats 3%Win rate#573 of 592
Beats 28%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#443 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board46
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.84MVolume
26.9%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,020
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$95partial
Liquidity rewards$249
0.21% ROI26.8% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5,885
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,208Blockx vs. Engel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Sports · Under 2.5
- +$680Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 27?Crypto · No
- +$606Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?Sports · Yes
- +$511Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture · Yes
- +$480Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$20.29Will Plasma dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto · No
- -$16.76Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 24?Crypto · No
- -$16.65Tien vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 40.5Sports · Over
- -$16.65Landaluce vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Sports · Over
- -$16.65Landaluce vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KBelow board-day sum
46Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $834 |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $1K |
Which boards
Sports 16Mentions 15Finance 11Culture 10Tech 6Weather 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $95 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$95
Maker rebate$95
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-14 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$6K
Verification gap-$5K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)