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0x1e524ff2123d380a690dbdf2245de2a9428e91d6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 28% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 28%Verified PnL#448 of 624
Beats 21%30-day PnL#466 of 594
Beats 14%Win rate#507 of 592
Beats 22%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#479 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board46
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.11MVolume
43.2%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.06%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$8,407
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,948partial
Liquidity rewards$8,494partial
0.06% ROI43.2% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$21.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,956Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,481Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,411Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?Sports · No
- +$1,389Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?Sports · No
- +$1,349Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?Crypto · 3000
Top 5 losing markets
- -$643SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$602Canucks vs. AvalancheSports · Avalanche
- -$574Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$559Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5Sports · Under
- -$557Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City RoyalsSports · Kansas City Royals
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
46Days on board
$10KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
-$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $658 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $937 |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $94 |
Which boards
Sports 20Weather 13Tech 12Finance 5Politics 3Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (100% maker / 0% taker); rebate covers 11% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$6
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-29 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$2K
Rebate$193
Net total-$2K
Rebate covers loss11%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$10K
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)