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0x1f3a646ce5cbe2c70270e7a46161d89b7c7b895d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 1% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 1%Verified PnL#614 of 625
Beats 0%30-day PnL#518 of 519
Beats 68%Win rate#181 of 566
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#268 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-10-02
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$1.05M
Verified lifetime PnL
$57.21MVolume
72.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.13%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2.20M7-day PnL
-$927K30-day PnL
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$1.05M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $92only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$151.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$32.1K
-1.83% ROI32.6% Win rate · n=893
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$4.46M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$890.8KLions vs. PanthersSports · Panthers / Lions
- +$515.3KCardinals vs. GiantsSports · Giants / Cardinals
- +$454.4KWill Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18?Sports · Yes
- +$447.4KWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?Sports · Yes
- +$430.9KNotre Dame vs. BYUSports · BYU / Notre Dame
Top 5 losing markets
- -$398.2KBengals vs. RavensSports · Ravens
- -$392.1KSteelers vs. BuccaneersSports · Buccaneers
- -$387.4KGeorgia vs. AlabamaSports · Georgia / Alabama
- -$357.9KWarriors vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
- -$313.3KGrizzlies vs. WarriorsSports · Warriors
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$1.05MVerified lifetime PnL
$4.36MBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$3.32MBoard-day sum
-$2.20M7-day PnL
-$927K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 7 | $3.32M |
Which boards
Sports 7All markets 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
89% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $151K (58% maker / 42% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio89%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$151K
Maker rebate$88K
Taker rebate$63K
Maker share58%
Taker share42%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$57.98M
Rebate$151K
Net total$58.13M
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3.32M
Verified lifetime PnL-$1.05M
Verification gap-$4.36M
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)