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0x1fe79e1e6990cc1fa2d015280fe7fed530a07fa7
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 18% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 18%Verified PnL#510 of 625
Beats 3%Win rate#544 of 566
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#515 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-08-27
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$303
Verified lifetime PnL
$66KVolume
30%Win rate · n=30
-0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$420
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$116
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$40
-0.64% ROI30% Win rate · n=30
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$308 · loses the most in Tech & science -$361
Top 5 winning markets
- +$308Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$33.16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$20.78Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$19.33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- +$18.56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$269Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$89.38Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$21.17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$18.58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$17.97Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETCrypto · Down
Covers all 32 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$303Verified lifetime PnL
$361Below board-day sum
5Days on board
$58Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $32 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $26 |
Which boards
Tech 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
35% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio35%
Fills measured218
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scope51 days
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$58
Verified lifetime PnL-$303
Verification gap-$361
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)