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0x21f4c1a1be34a39a7bc20985df4b7e5a39fb691d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#388 of 624
Beats 82%30-day PnL#106 of 594
Beats 25%Win rate#443 of 592
Beats 17%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#513 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board24
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-20
Last seen2026-09-29
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$25K
Verified lifetime PnL
$53.32MVolume
50.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$24K7-day PnL
$83K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$25.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $58only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$153.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$8,633
0.05% ROI50.5% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$11.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,025Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,980Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$3,900Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$3,869Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,799Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,807Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$4,508Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$4,507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$4,218Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$3,618Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$25KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KBelow board-day sum
24Days on board
$31KBoard-day sum
$24K7-day PnL
$83K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $8K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $21K |
Which boards
Crypto 24
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
50% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $153K (59% maker / 41% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio50%
Fills measured492
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$153K
Maker rebate$91K
Taker rebate$63K
Maker share59%
Taker share41%
Window2026-04-14 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$10.51M
Rebate$88K
Net total$10.60M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$31K
Verified lifetime PnL$25K
Verification gap-$6K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)