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0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#451 of 624
Beats 49%30-day PnL#303 of 594
Beats 61%Win rate#229 of 592
Beats 28%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#445 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-29
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.25MVolume
69.9%Win rate · n=93
0.20%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4037-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,700
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,091only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$250partial
Liquidity rewards$101
0.61% ROI33.2% Win rate · n=196
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$22.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,118Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Finance · Yes
- +$5,602Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Finance · Yes
- +$4,790Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,841Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?Crypto · No / Yes
- +$2,810Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,920Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics · No
- -$1,570Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$1,385US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$810Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$630US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
Covers all 100 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
-$4037-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $975 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $227 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $728 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $1K |
Which boards
Finance 9Politics 7Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $250 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-13
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$250
Maker rebate$241
Taker rebate$9
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-22 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)