ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsWeBuyHighWeSelllow
0x224f7ef690d952cf551a471846d5afb4892e514a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#570 of 624
Beats 5%30-day PnL#560 of 594
Beats 91%Win rate#53 of 592
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#537 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board44
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-14
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$79K
Verified lifetime PnL
$26.76MVolume
92.2%Win rate (sample) · n=395
-0.30%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
-$101K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$79.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$36.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$2,588
-0.30% ROI40.8% Win rate · n=892
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$710.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$16.9KWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?Sports · Yes
- +$15.3KBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5Sports · Under
- +$14.9KWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Sports · No
- +$13.6KGermany leading at halftime?Sports · No
- +$13.5KWill England win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,370Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?Sports · No
- -$8,063Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 0.5Sports · Over
- -$7,815Will France win on 2026-07-14?Sports · Yes
- -$7,485Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaSports · Paula Badosa
- -$7,380SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$79KVerified lifetime PnL
$247KBelow board-day sum
44Days on board
$167KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
-$101K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 8 | $81K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $43K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $30K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $13K |
Which boards
Sports 44All markets 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $36K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured478
Window ends2026-10-10
Window scope1 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$36K
Maker rebate$36K
Taker rebate$51
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-06-12 → 2026-10-31
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$395K
Rebate$5K
Net total$400K
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$167K
Verified lifetime PnL-$79K
Verification gap-$247K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)