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0x225b7c9aaf6108ded29b9fda9939aa671ef6422a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 35% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 35%Verified PnL#404 of 624
Beats 53%30-day PnL#274 of 594
Beats 49%Win rate#297 of 592
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#174 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-19
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$20K
Verified lifetime PnL
$956KVolume
64.3%Win rate · n=193
2.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$20.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,386only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$84partial
Liquidity rewards$154
2.12% ROI37.7% Win rate · n=329
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$15.1K · loses the most in Crypto -$81.1
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.7KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · No
- +$5,904Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$4,746Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Finance · No
- +$3,221Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?Culture · Yes
- +$2,571Will the government shutdown end November 13?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,000Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Culture · Yes
- -$1,847Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Culture · Yes
- -$1,698Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Culture · Yes
- -$1,423Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Culture · Yes
- -$1,306Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics · No / Yes
Covers the 206 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$20KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KEarned off the board
27Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 4 | $481 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $380 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $930 |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $256 |
Which boards
Sports 12Tech 10Politics 4Culture 3Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
49% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $84 (83% maker / 17% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio49%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$84
Maker rebate$70
Taker rebate$14
Maker share83%
Taker share17%
Window2026-05-15 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$20K
Verification gap$18K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)