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0x2282a5df…
0x2282a5df686f9dd2326bba576226850d439273e8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$6,097 · loses the most in Tech & science -$1,944
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,806Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,203Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Politics · No
- +$1,018Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics · No
- +$902Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Finance · No
- +$700Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,621Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Finance · No
- -$971US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · No
- -$914Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$650Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Tech & science · No
- -$495Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Tech & science · No
Covers all 118 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $35 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $486 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $435 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $106 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $60 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)